11 days before the election, two polling companies, Sonar and Konsensus, presented their polls, made in late May. Below are the average numbers from the two polls
In conclusion, the numbers show that the AKP still is close of reaching 50% of total votes, that CHP gains about 2% and that it seems like the scandals around the MHP has not had any negative impact on its poll numbers.
AKP 49.8 (+0.9 since mid May poll)
CHP 27.6 (+ 1.8 since mid May poll
MHP 11,1 (+0.2 since mid May poll)
BDP 5.4 (-1.5 since mid April poll)
Should these numbers stand, it would mean that the AKP will not get its hard strived for 2/3 majority in the Parliament. This is in large dependent on the MHP not reaching the 10% threshold. PM Erdogan has been accused of taking a nationalistic approach during his campaign to win enough votes from the MHP to secure that the MHP does not reach the threshold, which now seem to be doing.
And it seems that even if the CHP is far behind the AKP, Kılıçdaroğlu has been able to gain votes during his campaign and that the CHP will make a better result than in 2007.
The Kuridsh BDP will according to these polls get around 5 percent of the votes, but since many of their candidates run as independents it is hard to estimate how many mandates the party representatives will gains.
It should also be noted that the lesser known polling institute DORInsight shows only a 39% support for the AKP.
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I dont know what cool-aid you guys have drank, but you will find out in about a week that 50% is impossible.
I wonder where did you find these numbers? These are misdirected polls distrubuted to support the ruling radical Islamist AK Party. If this happens, for sure Turkey will be the second Iran of the region. But theese numbers are irrational believe me. Here is the truth. AK: % 37-38 CHP %34-35, MHP % 14-15
i am very happy for the victory of islamic party
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